Can't remember the last time I used a floppy disc... I remember when thumbdrives were quite the oddity, but nowadays, you can basically lug around a "small" hard drive on your keychain.

Still, I think the only TRUE way to finish off all floppies would be once the first PC generations start becoming the grandparent generation. Considering how little 14 years really is, even compared to the short, human life, I am not surprised floppies are still around. VHS is still around, and relatively common in upper-middle class, and lower class households. DVDs were introduced about 13 years ago.

So, I'd say floppy discs will have gone, mostly, in another 10 years or so, depending on what turns technology takes. If a huge leap in how wee interact via the internet and games is made in the next 5 years or so, I could see such an event making itself available to the lower classes within probably another 5-10 years, such as how HDTVs are starting to be seen more and more in lower and lower classes.

Basically, I wouldn't be surprised to see them being used another 10 years, but wouldn't be surprised if it stopped sooner. I would be surprised if they lost all use within the next 2 years though (barring mass extinction).